EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 20th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :

Sensex closed 291.47 points up at 24,479.84, while NSE Nifty 50 index settled 84.10 points up at 7435.10.Domestic equity markets snapped three-day losing streak by advancing over 1 per cent on Tuesday on account of buying in beaten blue chips counters and taking cues from global counterparts. Markets rebounded on account of short covering and positive global cues lifting Nifty to end up by over 1 per cent.”Nifty future showing recovery today & trade above 7400 but we believe on that if nifty trade above the 7500-7550.

NIFTY DAILY CHART:

Technical views:Nifty future closed at 7438.10 on Tuesday .Nifty spot break its major support of 7500 nifty spot have second support of 7200. Nifty may be take the support at this level as we hope otherwise nifty spot may be break the level of 7000 and trade below 6900-6750.

Pivot point :

Nifty Future  R1: 7482  R2: 7527  R3:7580
Pivot: 7430   S1: 7384   S2: 7331  S3: 7286

BANK NIFTY FUTURE:Bank Nifty closed at 15272.95 on Tuesday with the gain of 241.10 point (1.60%) . Bank nifty open gap up at 15083.65 And showing uptrend movement in full trading session. Buttechnically major reversal trend is not shown in that case we can see the 200-300 downfall in bank nifty if its not sustain to its reversal trend. bank nifty traded its 17th month low of august 2014. All the Psu’s bank losses its market capitalization below 50%,among these bank only HDFC BANK traded as a gainer. AXIS BANK (5.31%) and YES BANK (3.85%) is the top gainers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY DAILY CHART

 

Technical views:

Technically bank nifty traded its 17th month low and technically its very weak. bank nifty may be touché the new level of 14400- 14000 in this month.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future  R1: 15386  R2: 15499   R3:15650
Pivot: 15234           S1: 15121   S2: 14970   S3: 14857

USD/ INR:

The Indian rupee opened flat at 67.67 per dollar on Tuesday against previous close of 67.68. The rupee depreciated further to its lowest level in nearly 29 months against the US dollar, as weakness in domestic equities triggered worries of further foreign fund outflows amid rising prospects of a global economic slowdown The Indian currency ended the day at 67.68, down 0.12% from the previous close of 67.60 The dollar index against six major currencies ended at 99.09, up 0.15% from the previous close of 98.95

USDINR STRATEGY       S1 67.69   S2 67.50
Pivot Point 67.70           R1 67.89  R2 67.90

EUROPEAN MARKET:European markets are HIGHER today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is UP 1.94% while Germany's DAX is off 1.47 % and London's FTSE 100 is HIGHER by 1.65%.

Name      Closing      Change

FTSE 100  96.88       1.65
CAC 40     82.69       1.94
DAX          142          1.47

ASIAN MARKET:Asian markets finished broadly higher today with shares in China leading the region. The Shanghai Composite is up 3.22% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng is up 2.07% and Japan's Nikkei 225 is up 0.55%.

Name                      Change    % Chg

Nikkei 225               92.80       0.54
Straits Times          45.47       1.72
Hang Seng             398.36     0.56
Taiwan Weighted   43.70        0.56

If you want more information regarding the derivative report & many other tips like Stock Future tips, Equity Tips, Stock premium tips, Nifty tips, stock tips, Nifty future tips, Commodity tips, call @ 8109999233 or fill form http://equityresearchlab.com/Freetrial.php

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EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 19th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :

Sensex closed 266.67 points down at 24,188.37, while NSE Nifty settled 86.80 points down at 7,351. NSE Nifty fell on Monday on account of selling in front line blue chip counters couple with concerns about the global economy which are mounting after crude fell to its lowest since 2003. Meanwhile, data showed the country’s exports shrunk for a thirteenth straight month.

NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Nifty future closed at 7368.00 on Monday .Nifty spot break its major support of 7500 nifty spot have second support of 7200. Nifty may be take the support at this level as we hope otherwise nifty spot may be break the level of 7000 and trade below 6900-6750.

Pivot point :
 

Nifty Future   R1: 7442  R2: 7512   R3:7555
Pivot: 7398    S1: 7328   S2: 7284   S3: 7214

BANK NIFTY FUTURE:

Bank Nifty closed at 15074.90on Monday with the loss of -129.35 point (-0.85%) . Bank nifty open down at 15185.00 And showing consolidated movement in full trading session,and slipped at last half an hour and close at 15074.90. bank nifty traded its 17th month low of august 2014. All the Psu’s bank losses its market capitalization below 50%,among these bank only HDFC BANK traded as a gainer. BANK OF BARODA (-3.31%) and PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK (-3.16.%) is the top losers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Technically bank nifty traded its 17th month low and technically its very weak. bank nifty may be touché the new level of 14400- 14000 in this month.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future   R1: 15270  R2: 15489   R3:15631
Pivot: 15127            S1: 14908   S2: 14766   S3: 14546
 

USD/ INR: 

The rupee weakened further to a fresh over two-year low against the US dollar, as mounting concerns on a global downturn led to sell-off in local and regional shares, raising worries of additional foreign fund outflows The Indian currency ended the day at 67.60, down 0.45% from the previous close of 67.29 . The dollar index against six major currencies ended at 98.95, down 0.16% from the previous close of 99.11

USDINR STRATEGY           S1 67.55   S2 67.30
Pivot Point 67.40               R1 67.90   R2 68.15

EUROPEAN MARKET: 

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is down 0.49% while Germany's DAX is off 0.25% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.42%.

Name          Closing    Change

FTSE 100   5779.92    -24.18
CAC 40      4189.57     -20.59
DAX           9521.85     -23.42

ASIAN MARKET:

Asian markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The Shanghai Composite gained 0.44%, while the Hang Seng led the Nikkei 225 lower. They fell 1.45% and 1.12% respectively.

Name                     Change     % Chg

Nikkei 225             -191.54       -1.13
Straits Times         -37.76         -1.46
Hang Seng             -283.32       -1.47
Taiwan Weighted    49.47          0.63

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Equity Research Lab:- Sensex, Nifty open flat; Wipro falls 1%, bank stocks gain

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

ICICI Bank, Maruti, SBI, Sun Pharma and L&T are top gainers while Adani Ports, Wipro, ONGC, Hindalco and BHEL are losers in the Sensex.

The market has opened flat as the Sensex is down 16.96 points at 24438.08. The Nifty slips 12.50 points at 7425.30. About 225 shares have advanced, 417 shares declined, and 61 shares are unchanged.

ICICI Bank, Maruti, SBI, Sun Pharma and L&T are top gainers while Adani Ports, Wipro, ONGC, Hindalco and BHEL are losers in the Sensex.

The Indian rupee slipped to a fresh two years low. It has opened lower by 10 paise at 67.70 per dollar versus 67.60 Friday.

The rupee fell to a fresh over two-year low on Friday against the US dollar. It was down 1.45 percent last week, which is biggest weekly decline since week ended August 14, 2015. The safe haven yen got off to a flying start today as Asian equities tumble following a big selloff on Wall Street. The dollar index slipped below the 99 mark.

Asian markets opened sharply lower this morning following a big selloff on Wall Street. Japan’s Nikkei touched its lowest levels in nearly a year. The Chinese central bank set yuan mid-point at 6.5590/$ while the safe-haven yen got off to a flying start.

Gold prices surged Rs 340 to hit over two-month high of Rs 26,550 per ten grams at the bullion market today, taking positive cues from global market amid pick up in buying by jewellers to meet wedding season demand.

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Five reasons why 2016 stock market is no 2008

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

Most experts believe that while equities may see heightened volatility this year, it will be a far cry from the year when shares halved in value.

Noted analyst Shankar Sharma of First Global set the cat among the pigeons recently after he remarked in a CNBC-TV18 interview that the ongoing price swing in the market made January 2016 "eerily resemble" January 2008.

Sharma, however, was quick to make it clear that he was not forecasting a market decline of similar magnitude (in percentage terms) this year as one witnessed in 2008 when the financial crisis engulfed the globe. He said he was merely saying a quick and brutal selloff, with a similar intensity and pace was around the corner.

But the comment caught the market's attention and other experts have weighed in since, and most believe that while equities may see heightened volatility this year, it will be a far cry from the year when shares halved in value. Here is a cross section of views culled from a number of market pros on their view of the current correction phase.

"The kind of doomsday scenario which is being talked about or debated, I don’t think that kind of a situation will unfold especially for India. If you look at the American markets, the US markets, they are trading at highs and therefore there is room for them to correct. However, India is off already significantly from the highs, from the levels of 9,000 on the Nifty, we are already at 7,500," Nilesh Shah of Envision Capital told CNBC-TV18.

Shah said that while there are still individual pockets of the market where one could see correction, the market, he reckoned was not going to "fall off a cliff".

Eight year cycle:
Shah weighed in on the much-discussed "eight-year cycle" that equities, globally but particularly India, follow: Indian shares have seen decline in each of the years 1984, 1992, 2000 and 2008.

"It adds up very well. It is a fantastic piece of arithmetic progression but I am not too sure whether it is going to repeat itself in the same manner," he said, outlining that unlike in those years, the market had not recently peaked out and that it lacked euphoria that exists just prior to a bubble popping.

"You are not seeing some kind of mania that we had seen at the tops in 1992, 2000 or 2008, you have not seen like poor quality IPOs getting oversubscribed 50-200 times," he said.

CNBC-TV18 Consulting Udayan Mukherjee too believes that comparisons to 2008 may not appropriate, for the simple reason that while history may rhyme, it doesn't repeat itself.
 
"My base case is the market falls a bit longer but I don't the Nifty is going to 4,500 from 9,000 [like it fell 50 percent in 2008]," he said. "I wouldn't liken it to 2008 because bull and bear markets, crises and opportunities all resemble different forms. No pattern is identical."

Market cap to GDP:

Leading fund manager Anup Maheshwari of DSP BlackRock believes that another factor that shows valuations are not out of whack is the market-capitalization-to-GDP-ratio.

India's current mcap stands at a around Rs 100 trillion while size of the economy is around Rs 130 trillion: bringing the ratio to about 80 percent. This has retraced from a little under 100 percent when the Nifty peaked at 9,000.

But in 2008, valuations had achieved such proportions that the mcap-to-GDP ratio peaked at about 150 percent. 

2008 in a league of its own:

Finally, noted investor into Indian equities Adrian Mowat has a simple reminder, when he points out that the state of the global economy is nowhere near what it was back then.

"Remember, that was a global financial crisis; we were questioning the viability of the US financial system, we then rode into a year old crisis. Leverage in the developed world has come down particularly in the corporate sector we have reasonable economic growth and we tend to measure this a bit more while looking at housing market, looking at labour data rather than volatile GDP," he said.

"I think we have expensive developed market particularly in the US, maybe there is a bit of a downside there but this is not a financial event," he added.

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Asian shares stumble on Wall Street losses, growth worries

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

 

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan . MIAPJ0000PUS dropped 0.7 percent in early trade. Japan's Nikkei shed 3.3 percent, as downbeat domestic data added to the gloom.

Asian shares skidded on Thursday, taking their cue from steep losses on Wall Street as an overnight rout in oil prices heightened worries about the global economy.

US crude prices CLc1 were up 0.8 percent at USD 30.72 a barrel, but still not far from Tuesday's nadir of USD 29.93, which was its lowest level since December 2003. Global benchmark Brent LCOc1 settled down 1.8 percent on Wednesday at USD 30.31 a barrel, after falling as low as USD 29.96. That marked its first move below USD 30 a barrel since April 2004.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS dropped 0.7 percent in early trade. Japan's Nikkei shed 3.3 percent, as downbeat domestic data added to the gloom.

Japan's core machinery orders fell 14.4 percent in November from the previous month, down for the first time in three months and marking a bigger decline than economists' median estimate for a 7.9 percent drop.

On Wednesday, better-than-expected China trade data lifted Asian sentiment and gave equities and commodities prices a much-needed boost. But those gains unravelled later in the global session, and major US stock indexes finished with sharp losses.

"Despite improved sentiment after the better-than-expected trade balance report in China, risky assets were hit by more evidence of a supply glut in the energy markets that pushed oil prices back to multi-year low levels," strategists at Barclays wrote in a note to clients.

The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield US10YT=RR plumbed its lowest levels since late October as investors sought safety in government debt. It stood at 2.078 percent in early Asian trade, compared with its US close of 2.066 percent on Wednesday.

Undermined by lower US yields, the dollar lost ground to the perceived safe-haven Japanese counterpart. It was buying 117.38, down about 0.2 percent. The euro edged up about 0.1 percent to USD 1.0889.

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren sounded a cautious tone, saying global and US economic growth may be slipping and could force the Fed into a more gradul course of rate hikes than officials currently expect. Market participants continued to keep an eye on China's yuan. The People's Bank of China has held the line on its currency in the past few days, calming fears of a sustained depreciation.

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Stock Futures Tips Helps You Understanding The Recent Business Scenario

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

In the recent Scenario, the Indian securities exchange has been unpredictable. Be that as it may stock fates are being restricted to support your speculations so no single business variance far up or path down will demolish your selection. The most ideal way to see how stock prospects function is to ponder them regarding something unmistakable. We should say that you claim a popcorn organization and you have to purchase corn to make your item.

In Each business day, the cost of corn goes all over. You need to purchase corn at the most reduced cost conceivable so that you can make the most benefit when you offer your completed item. Be that as it may, you can understand that the cost of corn today can be altogether different than it is in twelve months. So you enter into a fates contract with the rancher to purchase his corn at the particular cost on the certain future date.

The agriculturist needs to gain profit, as well, so he's not going to concur on a value that is path beneath the current business sectors esteem. So then you'll consent to a reasonable cost to guarantee that both of you will be in content with the transaction in a year. It won't be the most noteworthy or the least cost, however not, one or the other one of you will get the beat by uncommon business vacillations.

Stock future tips work similarly. To gatherings enter into an agreement to purchase or offer a particular measure of stock at the certain cost on a set future date. The contrast between stock prospects and unmistakable items like wheat, corn, - the underside of the pig that is utilized to make bacon - is that stock futures contracts are practically never held to the close date. The agreement are purchased and sold on the fates business sector focused on around their relative qualities.

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EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 13th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :

Nifty fell for the second day on Tuesday on account of selling in front line blue chip stocks taking cues from Asian markets. Investors also remained cautious ahead of Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data for December and CPI Inflation data scheduled to be released later in the day. Sensex closed 143.01 points down at 24,682.03, while Nifty settled 53.55 points down at 7,510.30. Asian equity markets ended mostly in red on Tuesday in cautious trading, as oil took another tumble and Chinese stocks seesawed before the release of trade data on Wednesday, which is expected to show further declines in both exports and imports.

NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Nifty future closed at 7536.95 on Tuesday .Nifty spot have major support of 7550-7500 on daily time frame. And today nifty spot break the level of 7500 but not sustain at that level , nifty may be touché the new level till 7250 in this week.

Pivot point :

Nifty Future  R1: 7588  R2: 7643  R3:7687
Pivot:7545    S1: 7490  S2: 7446  S3: 7391

BANK NIFTY FUTURE:

Bank Nifty closed at 15810.00 on Tuesday with the loss of -225.85 point (-1.41%) . Bank nifty open down at 16125.30 but did not manage the sustain at higher level and during the whole trading session it was trading in downtrend. Bank nifty may be show s reverse trend tomorrow for a short time frame. BANK OF BARODA (-3.31%) and PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK (-3.16.%) is the top losers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Bank nifty closed at 15810.00on Tuesday . Bank nifty trading below the support its may be trade between the 16000-16360. bank nifty continuing its lower highs and lower lows formation on daily time frame. Above the level of 16400 (after gap filled) bullish trend in bank nifty can be seen.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future  R1: 16031  R2: 16280  R3:16433
Pivot: 15877          S1: 15630  S2: 15475  S3: 15228

USD/ INR: The rupee surrendered its initial gains and was trading lower by 8 paise to 66.89 per dollar in late morning deals on fresh bouts of demand for the American currency from importers and banks amid volatile domestic equities. The rupee resumed lower at 66.83 per dollar against yesterday's closing level of 66.81 at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. Later, it recovered 11 paise to quote 66.70 on good bouts of dollar selling by banks, it slid again to 66.92 before quoting at 66.89 per dollar at 1030 hrs. The domestic unit moved in a range of 66.92 and 66.70 per dollar during morning deals. Meanwhile, the dollar index was down by 0.12 percent at 98.70 against a basket of six currencies in the early trade.

USDINR STRATEGY       S1 66.69  S2 66.59
Pivot Point 66.83            R1 66.93  R2 67.07

EUROPEAN MARKET:

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is up 1.51% while Germany's DAX is off 1.61% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.97%.

Name          Closing   Change

FTSE 100    5929      57.41
CAC 40       4378      66.01
DAX             9985     160.36

ASIAN MARKET:

Asian markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The Shanghai Composite gained 0.20%, while the Nikkei 225 led the Hang Seng lower. They fell 2.71% and 0.89% respectively.

Name                     Change    % Chg

Nikkei 225             -479.00    -2.78
Straits Times          -17.07     -0.63
Hang Seng            -176.74    -0.90
Taiwan Weighted   -19.97     -0.26

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Sensex up over 150 pts, Nifty firm; Bharti & Infy up, TCS weak

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Tata Motors, Hindalco and Axis Bank are top gainers. Infosys is up over 1 percent. TCS is in red.

The market has opened firm on Wednesday. The Sensex is up 179.71 points or 0.7 percent at 24861.74 and the Nifty is up 52.50 points or 0.7 percent at 7562.80. About 591 shares have advanced, 81 shares declined, and 42 shares are unchanged. Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Tata Motors, Hindalco and Axis Bank are top gainers. Infosys is up over 1 percent. TCS is in red. The Indian rupee has opened marginally higher at 66.82 a dollar compared to 66.86 per dollar in previous session. Pramit Brahmbhatt, Veracity says considering weakness in equity market, the rupee has managed to remain below Rs 67/USD. According to him, the rupee is still expected to remain positive and Rs 67.10/USD is the next level to watch on the upside and Rs 66.50/USD on the downside. Asian shares crept off four-year lows as China's efforts to stabilize its currency brought a moment of calm to equity markets, even as oil marked a sorry new milestone under USD 30 a barrel. Investors were again watching where the People's Bank of China sets the yuan after two sessions of firm fixes. The central bank has also engineered a huge leap in yuan borrowing rates in Hong Kong, essentially making it prohibitively expensive to short the currency. A late rebound in energy and biotech shares helped push the S&P 500 to a second straight day of gains, while Apple and other technology shares also boosted the market. The Nasdaq snapped an eight-session losing streak, with the Nasdaq Biotech Index rebounding late, also breaking an eight-day run of losses. The biotech index, among the hardest-hit in this year's selloff, ended up 1.5 percent. Benchmark Brent was quoted 81 cents lower at USD 30.86 a barrel. US crude has fallen 17 percent in just seven sessions, a gift to consumers across the globe but also a strong force for disinflation.

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Equity Research lab: Stock Futures In The NSE

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

The Stock-futures is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell a standardized contract based on an underlying equity for the settlement or delivery at a pre-specified future date at a specified price. NSE defines the characteristics of the futures contract such as underlying security, market lot, and the maturity date of the contracts.

Futures contracts have the maximum of 3-month trading cycle - the near month (one), the next month (two) and the far month (three).The New contracts are introduced on the trading day following the expiry of the near month contracts. Futures contracts are expired on the last Thursday of the expiry month. If the last Thursday is a trading holiday, the contracts are expired on the previous trading day. The value of the futures contracts on individual securities may not be less than Rs. 2 lakhs at the time of the introduction for the first time at the any exchange. On the introduction day, the base price would be the theoretical futures price and on the subsequent trading days.

The Futures and the Options Trading System are provides a fully automated trading environment for screen-based, floor-less trading on the nationwide basis and an online monitoring and surveillance mechanism. The system supports the order driven market and provides complete transparency of trading operations. National Securities Clearing Corporation Limited is the clearing and settlement agency for the deals which are executed on the Derivatives segments. NSCCL acts as the legal counter-party to all deals on NSE's F&O segment and guarantees settlement. A Clearing Member of the NSCCL has the responsibility for the clearing and settlement of all the deals executed by Trading Members on the NSE, who clear and settle suchdeals through them.

The Stock futures market in the NSE has witnessed the tremendous growth shows the number of the contracts traded in the stock future market over the years. As of now, the stock futures trading accounts for more of the NSE.

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EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 12th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :

The Indian stock recovered some of its losses after plunging over 300 points in morning trade following weak Chinese data. Sensex opened at 24,787, touched an intra-day high of 24,962 and low of 24,599. It finally ended with a loss of 109 points at 24,825.while Nifty opened at 7,527 hitting a high of 7,605 and low of 7,494, before ending with a loss of 38 points at 7,564. China stocks closed down on Monday at their lowest since September, following weak inflation data over the weekend And continuing investor anxiety over the economy and the trajectory of the yuan.

NIFTY DAILY CHART

 

Technical views:

Nifty future closed at 7590.00 on Monday .Nifty spot have major support of 7550-7500 on daily time frame. it may be show the reverse trend at this level to level of 7650-6700.

Pivot point :

Nifty Future    R1: 7633  R2: 7682  R3:7746
Pivot: 7569    S1: 7519  S2: 7455  S3: 7406
 

BANK NIFTY FUTURE :

Bank Nifty closed at 16070.00 on Monday with the loss of -81.65 point (-0.51%) . Bank nifty open gap down at 15932.35 but did not manage the sustain at lower level and during the whole trading session its was trading its fill the morning gap. ICICI BANK (-2.29%) and SBIN BANK (-2.23.%) is the top losers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Bank nifty closed at 16070.00on Monday . Bank nifty trading below the support its may be trade between the 16000-16360. bank nifty continuing its lower highs and lower lows formation on daily time frame. Above the level of 16400 (after gap filled) bullish trend in bank nifty can be seen.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future     R1: 16200  R2: 16365  R3:16545
Pivot: 16021            S1: 15856  S2: 15676  S3: 15511

USD/ INR:

The Indian rupee declined in early trade on Monday. It has opened lower by 27 paise at 66.90 per dollar versus 66.63 Friday. The rupee trimmed its initial losses, but was still down by 17 paise to 66.80 per dollar in late morning deals amid persistent demand for the US currency from banks and importers on the back of higher dollar overseas amid weak domestic equities. The Indian rupee resumed sharply lower at 66.90 per dollar against last Friday's closing level of 66.63 per dollar at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. It moved in a range of 66.92 and 66.79 per dollar during morning deals before quoting at 66.80 at 1030 hrs.

USDINR STRATEGY        S1 66.58  S2 66.53
Pivot Point 66.75             R1 66.80  R2 66.97

EUROPEAN MARKET:

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is down 0.49% while Germany's DAX is off 0.25% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.69%.

Name               Closing     Change

FTSE 100       5871.83     40.16
CAC 40          4312.74     21.02
DAX                9825.07     24.27

ASIAN MARKET:

Asian markets finished broadly lower today with shares in China leading the region. The Shanghai Composite is down 5.33% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng is off 2.76% and Japan's Nikkei 225 is lower by 0.39%.

Name                     Change      % Chg

Nikkei 225              -69.38       -0.39
Straits Times          -42.38       -1.56
Hang Seng             -565.21     -2.84
Taiwan Weighted   -105.55      -1.36

 

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Sensex, Nifty open in green; L&T, Hindalco, Tata Motors gainers

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

L&T, Hindalco, Tata Steel, Tata Motors and Maruti are top gainers in the Sensex. Among losers are Hero, Dr Reddy's, ONGC, ITC and Adani Ports.

 

 

Moneycontrol Bureau After yesterday's tumble, the market has opened in green on Tuesday. The Sensex is up 46.48 points or 0.2 percent at 24871.52 and the Nifty is up 19.40 points or 0.3 percent at 7583.25. About 390 shares have advanced, 117 shares declined, and 49 shares are unchanged. L&T, Hindalco, Tata Steel, Tata Motors and Maruti are top gainers in the Sensex. Among losers are Hero, Dr Reddy's, ONGC, ITC and Adani Ports. The Indian rupee has opened marginally lower at 66.83 per dollar on Tuesday against previous close of 66.81 a dollar. "The USD-INR pair is expected to take cues from the movement in stock market today and is expected to trade in range of 66.70-66.90/dollar," he added. Euro retreated marginally as market sentiment improves, dollar rose. 

 

The dollar index inched towards the 99 mark. Asian shares hovered near four-year lows and oil prices languished at near 12-year lows as investors fretted over whether Beijing may be losing control of the economy. From the beginning of year, markets have been rocked by plunges in Chinese stock markets, the yuan's fall and subsequent heavy intervention by the Chinese authorities to push it back up. In another hit to crude prices, Nymex crude plunged more than 6 percent overnight to new 12-year lows. Some experts have now forecast crude to slip to USD 20 dollars or below.

 

 

 

 

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Equity Research lab: Simplest Way of Stock Investment

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

Introduction:

In financial market in-order to understand and evaluate any stock the 1st basic step we adopt is to see the financial ratio. Financial ratios are derived from one or more financial parameters by the way of dividing one parameter with the other. With the help of these ratios one can make the primary investigation on the stocks and its fundamental outlook. These ratios will also provide the comparative analysis of the good stocks to invest from a group of stocks available in same sector. Before going deep into the ratios let me explain few basic terms associated with the financial ratios.

  

Investment basics:

Balance Sheet:
Balance sheet of a company is the consolidated information about the assets and liability of the company. This part of the information also contains various figures like the sale volume, net profit, reserve and surplus etc. If you are a non commerce graduate then definitely you will find it difficult to understand the balance sheet. However as a trader or investor in the capital market you don’t require knowing the construction and detailed feature of the balance sheet. Only little information on balance sheet is enough for our understanding.

Net profit:
The profit made by the company during a financial period deducting the taxes and other liabilities is called net profit.

Reserve and surplus:
The amount of profit which is not disbursed to the investors by the way of dividend is called reserve and surplus. It is kept in the reserve and surplus book.  Many times these capital are being used by the company to issue the bonus shares to the investors.

Book value of the share:
Book value of a share is defined as the net asset of the company per each ordinary out standing share. In other words you can say each share holder’s value in the company in terms of assets is called book value.

Ratio analysis:
The financial ratios which I am going to explain in the following section are a. EPS (Earning per Share) b. P/E (Price to Earning Ratio) c. Debt -equity ratio. d. Price to book value ratio. You may find many more ratios in the financial mathematics but all are not important for our study.

After understanding the basic definitions of these ratios if you will take a group of industries from a particular sector and compare their ratio then you will get to know which is the best company to invest; based on the current market price. My aim is not to teach you the theory of these ratios. My aim is to make you aware of the best method to choose a stock of stocks. In this article I will explain the various ratios and the next article “Stock valuation and stock picking using financials” I will discuss how to choose a stock by using these ratios.

• EPS (Earning per Share): EPS is derived by dividing the net earning of the company by the numbers of the outstanding shares of that company. These shares are the general shares. That does not include the equity convertable preference shares, the bonds or commercial paper. The Outstanding shares were the tradable shares.
• P/E (Price Earning Ratio): Price earning ratio is derived by dividing the market price of the share by the EPS.
• Debt –Equity Ratio: Debt equity ratio is the total debt of the company divided by the number of ordinary equity shares. This Ratio exhibits the debt per share holder.
• Price to book value ratio: This is derived by dividing the book value of the share with the current market value of the share.

These four ratios are the key ratios for fundamental analysis. The main job of the fundamental analyst is to provide you the information on the growth stock and value stock.

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Sensex, Nifty continue to fall 1%; Reliance, Axis, NTPC gainers

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

Tata Steel, Hindalco, Bharti Airtel, Coal India and BHEL are losers while NTPC, Reliance, Axis Bank and Maruti Suzuki are among gainers in the Sensex.

 

 Moneycontrol Bureau 10:30 am Downgrade: Credit Suisse has downgraded Colgate Palmolive to neutral and reduced target price to Rs 1000 per share. The brokerage thinks that Baba Ramdev-promoted Patanjali poses a potential threat to Colgate’s growth. It has also slashed FY17-18 earnings estimates by 3-7 percent. “Colgate's volume growth has seen a significant drop in FY16, which is divergent from peers who are seeing steady volume growth. The key reason in our view is the strong traction that Patanjali has gained in the category,” it says in a report. Don't miss: Post China burns, market braces up to face Q3 earnings monsters The market is still struggling with bears as the Sensex is down 241.63 points or 0.9 percent at 24692.70. The Nifty is down 85.40 points or 1 percent at 7515.95. About 510 shares have advanced, 1503 shares declined, and 82 shares are unchanged. Tata Steel, Hindalco, Bharti Airtel, Coal India and BHEL are losers while NTPC, Reliance, Axis Bank and Maruti Suzuki are among gainers in the Sensex. Ajay Manglunia, Edelweiss said, "Indian bonds have been resilient in the midst of the global risk-off scenario. While the volatility might persist in the near term, domestic yields are expected to trade stable with an eye on the inflation release during the week. The 10-year benchmark yield is likely to trade in a range of 7.71-7.76% today." US crude oil prices were down more than 2 percent in early trading as traders increasingly lose faith in a significant market recovery soon and bet on even lower prices. The fall adds to an over 10 percent price drop in the first trading week of the year and when Goldman Sachs said oil could hit USD 20, and would see sustained low prices through the first quarter "so producers will move budgets down to reflect USD 40 a barrel oil for 2016."

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EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 11th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :Sensex closed 82.50 points or 0.33 per cent up at 24,934.33, while NSE Nifty settled 33.05 points or 0.44 per cent up at 7,601.35. Nifty snapped their four-day losing streak and closed on a positive note on Friday on account of value-buying in blue- chip stocks and recovery in the rupee amid firm Asian cues. On the global front, the Asian markets were higher after China suspended its market circuit breaker system and set a firmer midpoint rate for the yuan. The stock markets will eye the earnings season starting next week when Tata Consultancy Services and Infosys report their quarterly results.

NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Nifty future closed at 7607.75 on Friday .Nifty spot have major support of 7550-7500 on gaily time frame. it may be show the reverse trend at this level to level of 7650-6700.

Pivot point :

Nifty Future  R1: 7635  R2: 7665  R3:7686
Pivot: 7614   S1: 7584  S2: 7563  S3: 7553

BANK NIFTY FUTURE:

Bank Nifty closed at 16163.00 on Friday with the rose of 63.85 point (0.67%) . Bank nifty open gap up at 16296 higher after China suspended its market circuit breaker system and set a firmer midpoint rate for the yuan. YES BANK (2.67%) and AXIS BANK (1.88%) is the top gainers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY WEEKLY CHART

Technical views:

Bank nifty closed at 16163.00on Friday . Bank nifty given trend line breakout on weekly time frame next level for bank nifty may be 15900-15780.bank nifty continuing its lower highs and lower –lower formation on daily time frame.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future  R1: 16235  R2: 16318  R3:16373
Pivot:16180           S1: 16097  S2: 16042  S3: 15959

USD/ INR: The Indian rupee gained in the early trade on Friday. It has opened higher by 18 paise at 66.75 per dollar versus 66.93 Thursday. "USD has strengthened against global peers based on Yuan concerns. Rupee managed to defend 67/dollar level and is expected to remain positive during the day. Range for the day is seen between 66.60-67/dollar." Yen continued to rally, rising to strongest levels against the dollar in over four months. The euro too rises against the dollar . The dollar index fell nearly 1 percent, its biggest one-day loss in nearly a month.

USDINR STRATEGY    S1 66.55   S2 66.47
Pivot Point 66.66         R1 66.74   R2 66.85

EUROPEAN MARKET:

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is down 1.61% while Germany's DAX is off 1.33% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.70%.

Name          Change     % Chg

FTSE 100   5912.44    41.64
CAC 40      4333.76    69.82
DAX            9849.34    130.51

ASIAN MARKET:

Asian markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The Shanghai Composite gained 1.97% and the Hang Seng rose 0.59%. The Nikkei 225 lost 0.39%.

Name                     Change     % Chg

Nikkei 225              -69.38     -0.39
Straits Times           21.32       0.77
Hang Seng              120.37      0.59
Taiwan Weighted     41.91        0.53

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EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: STOCK FUTURES

STOCK FUTURE TIPS 

Future contract is the standardized transaction taking place on the futures exchange. Futures market was designed to solve the problems that are exist in forward market. A futures contract is an agreement between two parties, to buy or sell an asset at the certain time in the future at the certain price, but unlike forward contracts, futures contracts are the standardized and exchange traded To facilitate liquidity in the futures contracts, the exchange specifies the certain standard quantity and quality of the underlying instrument that can be delivered, and a standard time for such a settlement. Futures’ exchange has the division or subsidiary called a clearing house that performs the specific responsibilities of the paying and collecting daily gains and losses as well as guaranteeing performance of one party to the other. The future's contract can be offset prior to the maturity by entering into an equal and opposite transaction. More than 99% of the futures transactions are offset this way. Yet the another feature is that in the futures contrat gains and losses on the each party’s position is credited or charged on the daily basis, this process is called daily settlement or marking to market. Any person who entering into the futures contract assumes  long or short position, by a small amount to clearing house are called the margin money

The standardized items in the futures contract are:

•     Quantity of the underlying

•     Quality of the underlying

•     The dates and months of delivery

•     The units of price quotation and minimum price change

•     Location of settlement

 

FUTURES TERMINOLOGY

1. SPOT PRICE: The price at which an asset trades in the spot market.
2. FUTURES PRICE: The price at which the futures contract trades in the futures market.
3. CONTRACT CYCLE: The period over which a contract trades. The index futures contracts on the NSE have one month, two months and three months expiry cycles that expires on the last Thursday of the month. Thus a contract which is to expire in January will expire on the last Thursday of January.
4. EXPIRY DATE: It is the date specified in the futures contract. This is the last day on which the contract will be traded, at the end of which it will cease to exist.
5. CONTRACT SIZE: It is the quantity of asset that has to be delivered under one contract. For instance, the contract size on NSE’s futures market is 200 Nifties.
6. BASIS: In the context of financial futures, basis can be defined as the futures price minus the spot price. There will be different basis for each delivery month, for each contract. In a normal market, basis will be positive; this reflects that the futures price exceeds the spot prices.
7. COST OF CARRY: The relationship between futures price and spot price can be summarized in terms of what is known as the cost of carry. This measures the storage cost plus the interest paid to finance the asset less the income earned on the asset.
8. INITIAL MARGIN: The amount that must be deposited in the margin account at the time when a futures contract is first entered into is known as initial margin.
9. MARK TO MARKET: In the futures market, at the end of each trading day, the margin account is adjusted to reflect the investor’s gain or loss depending upon the futures closing price. This is called Marking-to-market.
10. MAINTENANCE MARGIN: This is somewhat lower than the initial margin. This is set to ensure that the balance in the margin account never becomes negative. If the balance in the margin account falls below the maintenance margin, the investor receives a margin call and is expected to top up the margin account to the initial margin level before trading commences on the next day.

Stock futures contract
It is the contractual agreement to trade in stock/ shares of the company on a future date. Some of the basic things in the futures trade as specified by the exchange are:

• Contract size
• Expiration cycle
• Trading hours
• Last trading day
• Margin requirement

Advantages of stock futures trading

• Investing in futures is less costly as there is only initial margin money to be deposited
• A large array of strategies can be used to hedge and speculate, with smaller cash outlay there is greater liquidity

Disadvantages of stock futures trading

• The risk of losses is greater than the initial investment of margin money
• The futures contract does not give ownership or voting rights in the equity in which it is trading
• There is greater vigilance required because futures trades are marked to market daily

INDEX DERIVATIVES
Index derivatives are the derivative contracts that has the index as the underlying. The most popular index derivatives contract are the index futures and index options. NSE’s market index - the S&P CNX Nifty are the examples of exchange traded index futures. An index is the broad-based weighted average of the prices of selected constituents that form the part of the index. The rules for construction of the index are defined by the body that creates the index. The Trading in stock index futures was first introduced by the Kansas City Board of Trade in 1982.

Advantages of investing in stock index futures

•  Diversification of the risks as the investor is not investing in a particular stock
• Flexibility of changing the portfolio and adjusting the exposures to particular stock index, market or industry

 OPTIONS

An option is a contract, or a provision of the contract, that gives one party (the option holder) the right, but not the obligation, that perform the specified transaction with another party (the option issuer or option writer) according to the specified terms. The owner of the property might sell another party an option to purchase the property any time during the next three months at the specified price. For every buyer of an option there must be a seller. The seller is then often referred to as the writer. As with futures, options are brought into existence by being traded, if none is traded, none exists; conversely, that there is no limit to the number of option contracts that can be in existence at any time. As with the futures, the process of closing out options positions will cause contracts to the cease to exist, diminishing the total number. Thus an option is the right to buy or sell a specified amount of a financial instrument at the pre-arranged price on or before a particular date. There are two options which can be exercised:

• Call option, the right to buy is referred to as a call option.
• Put option, the right to sell is referred as a put option.

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Expect 10-12% upside in Nifty in 2016; like cement: Nirmal Bang

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

 

Rahul Arora of CEO Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities says that while the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are expected to remain patchy, the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) inflows will remain constant.

Rahul Arora of CEO Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities believe that the Nifty has fallen substantially and will not go below 7300-7400 level on back of strong fundamentals. Arora expects 10-12 percent upside in Nifty in 2016. Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Arora says that while the foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are expected to remain patchy, the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) inflows will remain constant. On sectors, Arora says that one must look at domestic-led sectors like urban consumption, cement, and rating agencies. Reform promises from the government will benefit such sectors, he says. However, he is cautious on IT despite depreciating rupee and says that falling rupee might help bottomline, but majour concerns looms over topline and volume growth for IT companies. On the suspension of circuit breaker system by the China Securities Regulatory Commission on Thursday, Arora says that one will have to wait and see how China market opens on Friday.

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EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 8th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :

Nifty fell for fourth day in a row on Thursday, tumbling by over two percentage points as China accelerated the depreciation of the yuan, sparking sharp falls in regional equity and currency markets. China also suspended its stock markets for the rest of the day less than half an hour after opening as a new circuit-breaking mechanism was tripped for the second time this week. After a gap-down start, the domestic bourses never looked in recovery mood and ended the trade at four month closing lows, breaching their crucial support levels of 24,900 (Sensex) and 7,600 (Nifty).Markets ended at 4-month low as the benchmark BSE Sensex ended 554.50 points down at 24,851.83. NSE Nifty on the other hand plunged 172.70 down at 7,568.30.

 

 

NIFTY DAILY CHART

 

Technical views:

Nifty future closed at 7574.20 on Thursday below this level nifty future have major support of 7500-7550. Bullish trend may be seen at this level. If you want to more information regarding the derivative report & many other tips like equity tips, stock future tips call @ 8109999233 or fill form http://equityresearchlab.com/Freetrial.php

Pivot point :

Nifty Future           R1: 7643.30  R2: 7718.30  R3:7761.65
Pivot:7599.95        S1: 7524.95  S2: 7481.60  S3:7406.60

BANK NIFTY FUTURE:

Bank Nifty closed at 16080.00 on Thursday with the loss of -374.75 point (-2.28%) . Bank nifty open gap down at 16296 by the china currency devaluation and showing continuously downtrend over the full trading session. BANK OF BARODA (-6.19%) and AXIS BANK (-4.98%) is the top losers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY DAILY CHART

 

 

Technical views:

Bank nifty closed at 16080on Thursday . Bank nifty given trend line breakout on weekly time frame next level for bank nifty may be 15900-15780.bank nifty continuing its lower highs and lower –lower formation on daily time frame.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future     R1: 16203.70  R2: 16333.50  R3:16410.50
Pivot:16126.70        S1: 15996.90  S2: 15919.92  S3: 15790.10

USD/ INR: 

The Indian rupee opened marginally lower at 66.86 per dollar on Thursday against previous close of 66.82. 2016 has started with risk-off sentiment in the backdrop of poor Chinese data & geopolitical developments." "Odds of another Fed rate hike in March are high. The market is expecting a total of 3 Fed rate hikes in 2016. The USD-INR is expected to trade in a range of 66.52-67.11/dollar.The dollar weakened against a basket of currencies as FOMC minutes supported bets that further US rate hikes would be gradual on concerns about persistent low inflation.

USDINR STRATEGY    S1 66.68   S2 66.52
Pivot Point 66.82            R1 66.97   R2 67.11

EUROPEAN MARKET:

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is down 1.75% while Germany's DAX is off -2.35 and London's FTSE 100 is lower by -2.00%.

Name            Change    % Chg

FTSE 100       -119     -2.00
CAC 40          -77      -1.75
DAX               -234     -2.35

ASIAN MARKET:

Asian markets finished sharply lower today with shares in China leading the region. The Shanghai Composite is down 7.04% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng is off 3.09% and Japan's Nikkei 225 is lower by 2.33%.

Name                      Change     % Chg

Nikkei 225            -423.98      -2.39
Straits Times          -74.36       -2.72
Hang Seng             -647.47     -3.18
Taiwan Weighted    -138.33    -1.76

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