EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 13th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :

Nifty fell for the second day on Tuesday on account of selling in front line blue chip stocks taking cues from Asian markets. Investors also remained cautious ahead of Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data for December and CPI Inflation data scheduled to be released later in the day. Sensex closed 143.01 points down at 24,682.03, while Nifty settled 53.55 points down at 7,510.30. Asian equity markets ended mostly in red on Tuesday in cautious trading, as oil took another tumble and Chinese stocks seesawed before the release of trade data on Wednesday, which is expected to show further declines in both exports and imports.

NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Nifty future closed at 7536.95 on Tuesday .Nifty spot have major support of 7550-7500 on daily time frame. And today nifty spot break the level of 7500 but not sustain at that level , nifty may be touché the new level till 7250 in this week.

Pivot point :

Nifty Future  R1: 7588  R2: 7643  R3:7687
Pivot:7545    S1: 7490  S2: 7446  S3: 7391

BANK NIFTY FUTURE:

Bank Nifty closed at 15810.00 on Tuesday with the loss of -225.85 point (-1.41%) . Bank nifty open down at 16125.30 but did not manage the sustain at higher level and during the whole trading session it was trading in downtrend. Bank nifty may be show s reverse trend tomorrow for a short time frame. BANK OF BARODA (-3.31%) and PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK (-3.16.%) is the top losers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Bank nifty closed at 15810.00on Tuesday . Bank nifty trading below the support its may be trade between the 16000-16360. bank nifty continuing its lower highs and lower lows formation on daily time frame. Above the level of 16400 (after gap filled) bullish trend in bank nifty can be seen.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future  R1: 16031  R2: 16280  R3:16433
Pivot: 15877          S1: 15630  S2: 15475  S3: 15228

USD/ INR: The rupee surrendered its initial gains and was trading lower by 8 paise to 66.89 per dollar in late morning deals on fresh bouts of demand for the American currency from importers and banks amid volatile domestic equities. The rupee resumed lower at 66.83 per dollar against yesterday's closing level of 66.81 at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. Later, it recovered 11 paise to quote 66.70 on good bouts of dollar selling by banks, it slid again to 66.92 before quoting at 66.89 per dollar at 1030 hrs. The domestic unit moved in a range of 66.92 and 66.70 per dollar during morning deals. Meanwhile, the dollar index was down by 0.12 percent at 98.70 against a basket of six currencies in the early trade.

USDINR STRATEGY       S1 66.69  S2 66.59
Pivot Point 66.83            R1 66.93  R2 67.07

EUROPEAN MARKET:

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is up 1.51% while Germany's DAX is off 1.61% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.97%.

Name          Closing   Change

FTSE 100    5929      57.41
CAC 40       4378      66.01
DAX             9985     160.36

ASIAN MARKET:

Asian markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The Shanghai Composite gained 0.20%, while the Nikkei 225 led the Hang Seng lower. They fell 2.71% and 0.89% respectively.

Name                     Change    % Chg

Nikkei 225             -479.00    -2.78
Straits Times          -17.07     -0.63
Hang Seng            -176.74    -0.90
Taiwan Weighted   -19.97     -0.26

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Sensex up over 150 pts, Nifty firm; Bharti & Infy up, TCS weak

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Tata Motors, Hindalco and Axis Bank are top gainers. Infosys is up over 1 percent. TCS is in red.

The market has opened firm on Wednesday. The Sensex is up 179.71 points or 0.7 percent at 24861.74 and the Nifty is up 52.50 points or 0.7 percent at 7562.80. About 591 shares have advanced, 81 shares declined, and 42 shares are unchanged. Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Tata Motors, Hindalco and Axis Bank are top gainers. Infosys is up over 1 percent. TCS is in red. The Indian rupee has opened marginally higher at 66.82 a dollar compared to 66.86 per dollar in previous session. Pramit Brahmbhatt, Veracity says considering weakness in equity market, the rupee has managed to remain below Rs 67/USD. According to him, the rupee is still expected to remain positive and Rs 67.10/USD is the next level to watch on the upside and Rs 66.50/USD on the downside. Asian shares crept off four-year lows as China's efforts to stabilize its currency brought a moment of calm to equity markets, even as oil marked a sorry new milestone under USD 30 a barrel. Investors were again watching where the People's Bank of China sets the yuan after two sessions of firm fixes. The central bank has also engineered a huge leap in yuan borrowing rates in Hong Kong, essentially making it prohibitively expensive to short the currency. A late rebound in energy and biotech shares helped push the S&P 500 to a second straight day of gains, while Apple and other technology shares also boosted the market. The Nasdaq snapped an eight-session losing streak, with the Nasdaq Biotech Index rebounding late, also breaking an eight-day run of losses. The biotech index, among the hardest-hit in this year's selloff, ended up 1.5 percent. Benchmark Brent was quoted 81 cents lower at USD 30.86 a barrel. US crude has fallen 17 percent in just seven sessions, a gift to consumers across the globe but also a strong force for disinflation.

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Equity Research lab: Stock Futures In The NSE

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

The Stock-futures is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell a standardized contract based on an underlying equity for the settlement or delivery at a pre-specified future date at a specified price. NSE defines the characteristics of the futures contract such as underlying security, market lot, and the maturity date of the contracts.

Futures contracts have the maximum of 3-month trading cycle - the near month (one), the next month (two) and the far month (three).The New contracts are introduced on the trading day following the expiry of the near month contracts. Futures contracts are expired on the last Thursday of the expiry month. If the last Thursday is a trading holiday, the contracts are expired on the previous trading day. The value of the futures contracts on individual securities may not be less than Rs. 2 lakhs at the time of the introduction for the first time at the any exchange. On the introduction day, the base price would be the theoretical futures price and on the subsequent trading days.

The Futures and the Options Trading System are provides a fully automated trading environment for screen-based, floor-less trading on the nationwide basis and an online monitoring and surveillance mechanism. The system supports the order driven market and provides complete transparency of trading operations. National Securities Clearing Corporation Limited is the clearing and settlement agency for the deals which are executed on the Derivatives segments. NSCCL acts as the legal counter-party to all deals on NSE's F&O segment and guarantees settlement. A Clearing Member of the NSCCL has the responsibility for the clearing and settlement of all the deals executed by Trading Members on the NSE, who clear and settle suchdeals through them.

The Stock futures market in the NSE has witnessed the tremendous growth shows the number of the contracts traded in the stock future market over the years. As of now, the stock futures trading accounts for more of the NSE.

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EQUITY RESEARCH LAB: DERIVATIVE REPORT 12th JAN

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

NIFTY FUTURE :

The Indian stock recovered some of its losses after plunging over 300 points in morning trade following weak Chinese data. Sensex opened at 24,787, touched an intra-day high of 24,962 and low of 24,599. It finally ended with a loss of 109 points at 24,825.while Nifty opened at 7,527 hitting a high of 7,605 and low of 7,494, before ending with a loss of 38 points at 7,564. China stocks closed down on Monday at their lowest since September, following weak inflation data over the weekend And continuing investor anxiety over the economy and the trajectory of the yuan.

NIFTY DAILY CHART

 

Technical views:

Nifty future closed at 7590.00 on Monday .Nifty spot have major support of 7550-7500 on daily time frame. it may be show the reverse trend at this level to level of 7650-6700.

Pivot point :

Nifty Future    R1: 7633  R2: 7682  R3:7746
Pivot: 7569    S1: 7519  S2: 7455  S3: 7406
 

BANK NIFTY FUTURE :

Bank Nifty closed at 16070.00 on Monday with the loss of -81.65 point (-0.51%) . Bank nifty open gap down at 15932.35 but did not manage the sustain at lower level and during the whole trading session its was trading its fill the morning gap. ICICI BANK (-2.29%) and SBIN BANK (-2.23.%) is the top losers in bank nifty future.

BANK NIFTY DAILY CHART

Technical views:

Bank nifty closed at 16070.00on Monday . Bank nifty trading below the support its may be trade between the 16000-16360. bank nifty continuing its lower highs and lower lows formation on daily time frame. Above the level of 16400 (after gap filled) bullish trend in bank nifty can be seen.

Pivot level:

Bank Nifty Future     R1: 16200  R2: 16365  R3:16545
Pivot: 16021            S1: 15856  S2: 15676  S3: 15511

USD/ INR:

The Indian rupee declined in early trade on Monday. It has opened lower by 27 paise at 66.90 per dollar versus 66.63 Friday. The rupee trimmed its initial losses, but was still down by 17 paise to 66.80 per dollar in late morning deals amid persistent demand for the US currency from banks and importers on the back of higher dollar overseas amid weak domestic equities. The Indian rupee resumed sharply lower at 66.90 per dollar against last Friday's closing level of 66.63 per dollar at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. It moved in a range of 66.92 and 66.79 per dollar during morning deals before quoting at 66.80 at 1030 hrs.

USDINR STRATEGY        S1 66.58  S2 66.53
Pivot Point 66.75             R1 66.80  R2 66.97

EUROPEAN MARKET:

European markets are lower today with shares in France off the most. The CAC 40 is down 0.49% while Germany's DAX is off 0.25% and London's FTSE 100 is lower by 0.69%.

Name               Closing     Change

FTSE 100       5871.83     40.16
CAC 40          4312.74     21.02
DAX                9825.07     24.27

ASIAN MARKET:

Asian markets finished broadly lower today with shares in China leading the region. The Shanghai Composite is down 5.33% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng is off 2.76% and Japan's Nikkei 225 is lower by 0.39%.

Name                     Change      % Chg

Nikkei 225              -69.38       -0.39
Straits Times          -42.38       -1.56
Hang Seng             -565.21     -2.84
Taiwan Weighted   -105.55      -1.36

 

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Sensex, Nifty open in green; L&T, Hindalco, Tata Motors gainers

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

L&T, Hindalco, Tata Steel, Tata Motors and Maruti are top gainers in the Sensex. Among losers are Hero, Dr Reddy's, ONGC, ITC and Adani Ports.

 

 

Moneycontrol Bureau After yesterday's tumble, the market has opened in green on Tuesday. The Sensex is up 46.48 points or 0.2 percent at 24871.52 and the Nifty is up 19.40 points or 0.3 percent at 7583.25. About 390 shares have advanced, 117 shares declined, and 49 shares are unchanged. L&T, Hindalco, Tata Steel, Tata Motors and Maruti are top gainers in the Sensex. Among losers are Hero, Dr Reddy's, ONGC, ITC and Adani Ports. The Indian rupee has opened marginally lower at 66.83 per dollar on Tuesday against previous close of 66.81 a dollar. "The USD-INR pair is expected to take cues from the movement in stock market today and is expected to trade in range of 66.70-66.90/dollar," he added. Euro retreated marginally as market sentiment improves, dollar rose. 

 

The dollar index inched towards the 99 mark. Asian shares hovered near four-year lows and oil prices languished at near 12-year lows as investors fretted over whether Beijing may be losing control of the economy. From the beginning of year, markets have been rocked by plunges in Chinese stock markets, the yuan's fall and subsequent heavy intervention by the Chinese authorities to push it back up. In another hit to crude prices, Nymex crude plunged more than 6 percent overnight to new 12-year lows. Some experts have now forecast crude to slip to USD 20 dollars or below.

 

 

 

 

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Equity Research lab: Simplest Way of Stock Investment

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

Introduction:

In financial market in-order to understand and evaluate any stock the 1st basic step we adopt is to see the financial ratio. Financial ratios are derived from one or more financial parameters by the way of dividing one parameter with the other. With the help of these ratios one can make the primary investigation on the stocks and its fundamental outlook. These ratios will also provide the comparative analysis of the good stocks to invest from a group of stocks available in same sector. Before going deep into the ratios let me explain few basic terms associated with the financial ratios.

  

Investment basics:

Balance Sheet:
Balance sheet of a company is the consolidated information about the assets and liability of the company. This part of the information also contains various figures like the sale volume, net profit, reserve and surplus etc. If you are a non commerce graduate then definitely you will find it difficult to understand the balance sheet. However as a trader or investor in the capital market you don’t require knowing the construction and detailed feature of the balance sheet. Only little information on balance sheet is enough for our understanding.

Net profit:
The profit made by the company during a financial period deducting the taxes and other liabilities is called net profit.

Reserve and surplus:
The amount of profit which is not disbursed to the investors by the way of dividend is called reserve and surplus. It is kept in the reserve and surplus book.  Many times these capital are being used by the company to issue the bonus shares to the investors.

Book value of the share:
Book value of a share is defined as the net asset of the company per each ordinary out standing share. In other words you can say each share holder’s value in the company in terms of assets is called book value.

Ratio analysis:
The financial ratios which I am going to explain in the following section are a. EPS (Earning per Share) b. P/E (Price to Earning Ratio) c. Debt -equity ratio. d. Price to book value ratio. You may find many more ratios in the financial mathematics but all are not important for our study.

After understanding the basic definitions of these ratios if you will take a group of industries from a particular sector and compare their ratio then you will get to know which is the best company to invest; based on the current market price. My aim is not to teach you the theory of these ratios. My aim is to make you aware of the best method to choose a stock of stocks. In this article I will explain the various ratios and the next article “Stock valuation and stock picking using financials” I will discuss how to choose a stock by using these ratios.

• EPS (Earning per Share): EPS is derived by dividing the net earning of the company by the numbers of the outstanding shares of that company. These shares are the general shares. That does not include the equity convertable preference shares, the bonds or commercial paper. The Outstanding shares were the tradable shares.
• P/E (Price Earning Ratio): Price earning ratio is derived by dividing the market price of the share by the EPS.
• Debt –Equity Ratio: Debt equity ratio is the total debt of the company divided by the number of ordinary equity shares. This Ratio exhibits the debt per share holder.
• Price to book value ratio: This is derived by dividing the book value of the share with the current market value of the share.

These four ratios are the key ratios for fundamental analysis. The main job of the fundamental analyst is to provide you the information on the growth stock and value stock.

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Sensex, Nifty continue to fall 1%; Reliance, Axis, NTPC gainers

STOCK FUTURE TIPS

Tata Steel, Hindalco, Bharti Airtel, Coal India and BHEL are losers while NTPC, Reliance, Axis Bank and Maruti Suzuki are among gainers in the Sensex.

 

 Moneycontrol Bureau 10:30 am Downgrade: Credit Suisse has downgraded Colgate Palmolive to neutral and reduced target price to Rs 1000 per share. The brokerage thinks that Baba Ramdev-promoted Patanjali poses a potential threat to Colgate’s growth. It has also slashed FY17-18 earnings estimates by 3-7 percent. “Colgate's volume growth has seen a significant drop in FY16, which is divergent from peers who are seeing steady volume growth. The key reason in our view is the strong traction that Patanjali has gained in the category,” it says in a report. Don't miss: Post China burns, market braces up to face Q3 earnings monsters The market is still struggling with bears as the Sensex is down 241.63 points or 0.9 percent at 24692.70. The Nifty is down 85.40 points or 1 percent at 7515.95. About 510 shares have advanced, 1503 shares declined, and 82 shares are unchanged. Tata Steel, Hindalco, Bharti Airtel, Coal India and BHEL are losers while NTPC, Reliance, Axis Bank and Maruti Suzuki are among gainers in the Sensex. Ajay Manglunia, Edelweiss said, "Indian bonds have been resilient in the midst of the global risk-off scenario. While the volatility might persist in the near term, domestic yields are expected to trade stable with an eye on the inflation release during the week. The 10-year benchmark yield is likely to trade in a range of 7.71-7.76% today." US crude oil prices were down more than 2 percent in early trading as traders increasingly lose faith in a significant market recovery soon and bet on even lower prices. The fall adds to an over 10 percent price drop in the first trading week of the year and when Goldman Sachs said oil could hit USD 20, and would see sustained low prices through the first quarter "so producers will move budgets down to reflect USD 40 a barrel oil for 2016."

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